中国缺位导致美国作乱？
挪威一个作者在美国《外交政策》杂志发了一篇文章。。。神马逻辑？！吐槽过后，我稍微看了一下原文：
核心观点如下：中国未能在大中东地区扮演军事制衡者的角色，使得美国在该地区发动高风险战争变得容易得多——最近的例子就是“史诗愤怒行动”，即美国空袭击毙伊朗最高领导层的行动。
冷战时期，苏联在中东的军事存在，是对美国军事冒险主义的关键制约。华盛顿无法在不冒与莫斯科直接对抗风险的情况下，对伊朗等地区大国发动大规模打击。而如今，这一制约已不复存在。
中国选择将其中东政策的重心放在经济合作、能源安全与外交斡旋上——最具代表性的就是2023年促成沙特与伊朗复交——而非建立永久军事存在。尽管这一模式符合中国的经济利益，但它也消除了曾经制约美国干预的战略威慑力。
其结果是形成了一种危险的动态：美国在中东没有可信的军事制衡力量，因此越来越敢于采取鲁莽的军事行动。
这些战争不仅在生命和财富上付出了高昂代价，还将美国关键的军事和外交资源从印太地区抽离，削弱了华盛顿在与中国核心大国竞争中的地位。
中国在中东的非军事化政策并非美国发动战争的原因，但它作为军事制衡者的缺席，造成了一个美国迫不及待想要填补的权力真空——这给地区稳定和美国国家安全带来了灾难性后果。
[笑cry][笑cry][笑cry]
China’s absence as a military balancer in the greater Middle East has made it far easier for the United States to launch high-risk wars in the region—most recently, Operation Epic Anger, the U.S. airstrike that killed Iran’s top leadership.
During the Cold War, the Soviet Union’s military presence in the Middle East acted as a critical check on U.S. military adventurism. Washington could not simply launch large-scale strikes against regional powers like Iran without risking direct confrontation with Moscow. That constraint is gone today.
China has chosen to focus its Middle East policy on economic engagement, energy security, and diplomatic mediation—most notably, brokering the 2023 Saudi-Iran detente—rather than building a permanent military footprint. While this approach serves China’s economic interests, it has removed the strategic deterrent that once restrained U.S. intervention.
The result is a dangerous dynamic: the United States, facing no credible military counterweight in the Middle East, is increasingly emboldened to take reckless military action. These wars are not only costly in lives and treasure but also divert critical U.S. military and diplomatic resources away from the Indo-Pacific, weakening Washington’s position in its core great-power competition with China.
China’s non-military approach to the Middle East is not the cause of U.S. wars, but its absence as a military balancer has created a power vacuum that the United States has been all too willing to fill—with catastrophic consequences for regional stability and U.S. national security.
