The professional doesn’t optimize for the one path they expect. They size for the thousand paths they don’t. They build portfolios and position sizes that survive being wrong because they know they will be wrong. Frequently, painfully, expensively wrong. The question isn’t, “How do I avoid being wrong?” It’s, “How do I survive being wrong long enough for my edge to manifest?”

This is what separates amateurs from professionals. We stop trying to eliminate uncertainty—that’s impossible—and start engineering our survival within it.