百度前员工，Anthropic CEO ‌达里奥·阿莫迪‌（Dario Amodei） 回答了大家都在问的问题：你还应该学习编程吗？

1. 编程将首先被淘汰。
AI模型已经在做了。更广泛的软件工程任务需要更长时间，但也在消退。如果你学编程纯粹是为了工作保障，那你学的东西就错了。

2. 即使只做5%的工作，你仍然很有价值。
如果AI做95%，你做5%，你的生产力会提高20倍。比较优势的力量大得惊人，即使差距巨大。

3. 最有前景的职业是以人为中心的。
混合人际、物理世界和分析技能的工作。他举了放射科医生的例子。理解患者和背景的医生，而不仅仅是读取扫描。

4. 批判性思维可能是未来十年最重要的技能。
当AI能生成任何东西时，区分真假的能力变得稀有和宝贵。你不想要错误的信念，不想被骗。这是他对25岁年轻人的实际建议。

5. 如果使用不当，AI会让你变蠢。
Anthropic进行了相关研究。取决于你如何使用模型，编码能力的衰退是可衡量的、真实的。工具不是原因，不当使用才是。

6. 他看好半导体领域在未来十年的资本主义胜利。
物理世界、传统工程、直接的AI优势。不是软件，而是芯片。

Anthropic CEO Answers the Question Everyone Is Asking: Should You Still Learn to Code?

1. Coding Will Be the First to Go.
AI models are already doing it. Broader software engineering tasks will take longer, but they're fading too. If you're learning to code purely for job security, you're learning the wrong thing.

2. Even If You Only Do 5% of the Work, You're Still Valuable.
If AI does 95% and you do 5%, your productivity increases 20-fold. The power of comparative advantage is astonishing, even with a huge gap.

3. The Most Promising Jobs Are Human-Centered.
Jobs that blend interpersonal, physical world, and analytical skills. He gave the example of radiologists. Doctors who understand patients and context, not just reading scans.

4. Critical Thinking May Be the Most Important Skill of the Next Decade.
When AI can generate anything, the ability to distinguish truth from falsehood becomes rare and valuable. You don't want false beliefs or to be deceived. This is his practical advice to 25-year-olds.

5. If Used Improperly, AI Will Make You Dumber.
Anthropic conducted related research. Depending on how you use the models, the decline in coding ability is measurable and real. The tool isn't the cause—misuse is.

6. He's Bullish on Semiconductors as Capitalism's Big Win in the Next Decade.
Physical world, traditional engineering, direct AI advantages. Not software, but chips. http://t.cn/AXOyY2cT